Missouri 2020

Ecological inference estimates by county for MO State.

Ecological Inference Estimates

ei = transpose(ei_df)

viewof countyInput = Inputs.select(ei.map(d => d.county),
                                {sort: true, unique: true, label: "Choose a county:"})

Plot.plot({

marks: [
  Plot.ruleX([0]),
  Plot.dot(ei,
    {
    x: "mean",
    y: "race",
    fill: "race",
    r: 4,
    filter: d => d.county === countyInput,
    sort: {y: null}
  }),
  Plot.link(ei,
  {
  x1: "ci_95_lower",
  x2: "ci_95_upper",
  y1: "race",
  y2: "race",
  filter: d => d.county === countyInput
  })
],
facet: {data: ei, y: "election", filter: d => d.county === countyInput,
marginRight: 150, label: "Contest", sort: {fy: null}},
fill: {legend: true},
x: {label: "(%) Estimated Support for Democrats",
    percent: true,
    labelAnchor: "center"},
y: {label: "Race"},

height: 600,
marginLeft: 80

})

Each point indicates the estimated mean for that race or ethnicity’s estimated support for the Democratic candidate. The extent of the bar indicates a 95% confidence interval.

2020 Missouri county

Data Sources

Data for Missouri comes from the ALARM Project’s 2020 Redistricting Data Files. This data standardizes the Voting and Election Science Team (VEST) data from the Harvard Dataverse to geographies from the US Census Bureau, primarily at the VTD level.

Elections Included in Analysis

• President 2016
• US Senate 2016
• Governor 2016
• Attorney General 2016
• Secretary of State 2016
• US Senate 2018
• President 2020
• Governor 2020
• Attorney General 2020
• Secretary of State 2020

Data Download

  Summary File A     MO_county_2020_summary.csv

  Precinct Estimates A     MO_county_2020_precinct.csv

  Summary File B     MO_county_2020_summary_b.csv

  Precinct Estimates B     MO_county_2020_precinct_b.csv